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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 20-35 min | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-5 | 6-30 Experten | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |