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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds1-2 Wochen pro Iteration20-35 min60-90 min
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-61-53-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportTest Card with a pre-set thresholdPrioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis
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