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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |  Product Discovery Learning Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. | The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 45-75 min | 25-40 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-6 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Test Matrix, Test Plan | Learning Card with evidence and next action |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning |