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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 45-75 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-6 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Test Matrix, Test Plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |