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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of VRIO Framework with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
VRIO Framework
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.The VRIO Framework rates resources and capabilities on whether they are Valuable, Rare, Inimitable, and Organized. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a VRIO table and strategic actions.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds15-45 min90-180 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten1-83-66-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesVRIO Table, Strategic ActionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
StrategyDiagnosisBusiness modelCapability
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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