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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 15-45 min | 90-180 min | 10-30 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting |