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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | laufend | 15-60 min je Zyklus | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-12 | 1-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationForecastingFlow | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |