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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Agile NoEstimates |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | laufend | 1-2 h | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-12 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationForecastingFlow | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |