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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | Half day | 1-5 Tage | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-12 | 4-12 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |