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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple roundsHalf day45-90 min15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten3-122-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesLeverage Map, Action StrategyAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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