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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds45-90 min45-90 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten1-62-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesLean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment BacklogAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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