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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighHighLow
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds2-8 h1-4 Wochen60-90 min
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-86-30 Experten4-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesProblem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop
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