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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Growth Hooked Model |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Growth Flywheel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | Multiple workshops over several weeks | 1-4 Wochen | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | GrowthBehaviorRetention | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthRetentionConversion |