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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-90 min | 2-4 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-12 | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ChangeDecisionStrategy | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |