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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 4-10 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |