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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 WochenAs neededHalber Tag
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten6-30 Experten4-155-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder UpdatesSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated Runbooks
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
IncidentOperationsReliability
ResilienceOperationsIncident
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