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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighHighMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 WochenHalber TagAs needed
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten6-30 Experten5-204-15
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ResilienceOperationsIncident
IncidentOperationsReliability
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