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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds60-90 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten4-102-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesProblem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, ExperimentAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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