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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 90-180 min | 1-5 Tage | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 | Nutzertraffic | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |