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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds30-90 min15-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten3-122-96-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
EstimationEffortAgile
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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