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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-90 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |