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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Knowledge Modeling Knowledge Mapping |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-90 min | 1-3 h | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Knowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer Plan | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | KnowledgeMappingRisk | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |