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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds45-90 min45-90 min15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-83-121-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ChangeDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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