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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-60 min | 20-35 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 1-5 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery |