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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-3 h | 1-2 h | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 2-8 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | SensemakingDecisionRationale | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |