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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Growth A/B Testing |  Knowledge Modeling Concept Mapping |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-6 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Concept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge Gaps | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |