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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds45-90 min10-30 min je Item15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-51-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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