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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds45-90 minHalber Tag1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-55-206-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
ResilienceOperationsIncident
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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