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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds45-90 min45-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-52-81-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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