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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds15-30 min1-4 Wochen1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-66-30 Experten3-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
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