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| Criterion |  Operations Waste Analysis |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile NoEstimates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-120 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen | laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 4-12 Experten | 6-30 Experten | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules |
Tagsno overlap | WasteLeanProcess improvement | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationForecastingFlow |