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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min10-30 min je Item15-45 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-81-81-84-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
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