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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-120 min10-30 min je Item15-60 min je Zyklus1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-81-81-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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