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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min10-30 min je Item30-90 min15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-83-121-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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