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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-120 min45-90 min15-45 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-61-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogLean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment BacklogPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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