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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-120 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten1-62-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment BacklogAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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