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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-120 min45-60 min15-45 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-82-81-81-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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