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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Wardley Mapping |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Wardley Mapping makes visible where an offering stands today and where it can evolve. The method connects user need, value chain, and evolution stages into a strategic basis for platform, build, or buy decisions. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Wardley Map, Strategic Options, Evolution Notes | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | StrategySystems thinkingDynamics | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |