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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Wardley Mapping |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Wardley Mapping makes visible where an offering stands today and where it can evolve. The method connects user need, value chain, and evolution stages into a strategic basis for platform, build, or buy decisions. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 30-90 min | 45-90 min | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-8 | 1-10 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Wardley Map, Strategic Options, Evolution Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | StrategySystems thinkingDynamics | DecisionTreeOptions | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |