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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-8 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | LeanStartupValidationMVP | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |