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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 3-10 | 3-12 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ChangeDecisionStrategy | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |