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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Business Strategy Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | The Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas shows how an offering is positioned relative to the market. Differentiation thereby becomes tangible in value factors instead of merely being claimed. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Strategy Canvas, Value Curve, ERRC Actions |
Tags1 shared | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | StrategyPositioningInnovationValue |