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Criterion
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Five-Minute VC Check with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
5-Minuten VC-Check
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min1-4 Wochen5-15 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
1-106-30 Experten1-52-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesVC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation stepDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StartupValidationCompetition
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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