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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Balanced Scorecard |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Balanced Scorecard translates strategy into a few interconnected perspectives and metrics. It holds impact, steering, and learning together in daily work instead of narrowing strategy down to financial figures. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | Halber Tag bis mehrere Wochen | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Balanced Scorecard, Strategic Measures, Initiative Map | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyMetricsExecution | SensemakingDecisionRationale |