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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations After-Action Review |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 20-45 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LearningOperationsImprovement | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |