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Criterion
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Purposedifferent
The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
30-90 min2-6 h15-30 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
1-103-82-63-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions
Tagsno overlap
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
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