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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking VUCA Scan | ![]() Business Strategy Business Model Canvas | ![]() Business Strategy Scenario Planning | ![]() Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 1-2 h | 0.5-2 Tage | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-8 | 4-12 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tags1 shared | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |



