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Criterion
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Purposedifferent
The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
30-90 min45-90 min1-2 h1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
1-102-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan
Tagsno overlap
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
RiskDecisionSensemaking
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