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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 45-90 min | 1-2 h | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | SensemakingDecisionRationale |