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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | SensemakingDecisionRationale | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RationaleKnowledgeDecision |